Rising FHA Loan Limits Match Record Home Price Appreciation

Rising loan limits can help perspective homeowners with lower credit scores and down payment capabilities get on the homeownership ladder.

2 MIN READ
Adobe Stock / William W. Potter

Ninety-nine percent of counties in the nation will start 2022 with higher Federal Housing Administration (FHA) loan limits than 2021. Home price appreciation moved to record highs in 2021 as the housing market continued to boom through the pandemic. Rising FHA loan limits are particularly important in a rising home price environment as they help some Americans secure a mortgage by offering buyers lower down payment and credit score options.

  • The FHA sets a ceiling and floor each year for the loan limits based on median home prices. The new ceiling of $970,800 is 18% higher than the $822,375 from last year. Loans in metros like Los Angeles, New York, and San Francisco are subject to the revised ceiling. The new floor of $420,680 is seen in hot housing markets like Las Vegas; Raleigh, North Carolina; and Tampa, Florida. Over 87% of all counties received the minimum limit;
  • Among major markets, the new loan limits increased the most in counties in Boise, Idaho, and Phoenix, up 24% and 20%, respectively. Other notable increases include select counties in Montana, Utah, and Tennessee. In some markets, though, the dramatic increase still lags the runup in prices seen over the last year; and
  • After a muted increase of just 2.8% last year, Austin, Texas, one of the hottest housing markets in the country, rose 16% from $416,300 to $483,000. This change, however, is still less than the national 18% increase to the floor and ceiling limits.

“Home builders and existing homeowners have benefited tremendously from the hot housing market, but those looking to buy a home have found the process challenging,” says Tim Sullivan, senior managing principal at Zonda. “These higher FHA loan limits capture how the market has evolved and serve as a place to help folks with a slightly tarnished credit score or small down payment get on the homeownership ladder.”

The impact on the new-home market varies by metro, but most will see a net benefit.

  • New-home communities in Maricopa County in Phoenix are the biggest winners under the new 2022 criteria, with over 100 additionally active communities that list a minimum price under the updated $441,600 limit. Maricopa was the biggest winner in 2020 and 2021 as well;
  • Looking on a CBSA level, Houston gained the most volume of new-home communities that now fall within the new limits, Harris and Montgomery counties alone added 116 more active projects listed under their new $420,680 limit; and
  • Among major metros, Las Vegas gained the most on a percentage basis, increasing its under FHA count by 130%. Other major metros with large percent gains were Phoenix; Riverside/San Bernardino, California; Orlando, Florida; and Charlotte, North Carolina.

The change in the FHA floor and ceiling loan limits match the 18% increase in conforming loans announced by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) earlier this week. The FHFA established the national conforming limit at $647,200, the FHA is required to set the floor at 65% of the conforming limit whereas the ceiling is set at 150% of the FHFA’s figure.

About the Author

Ali Wolf

Ali Wolf is the Chief Economist for Zonda and NewHomeSource. Zonda is the largest new home construction data company in North America. As head of the Economics Department, Ali manages and analyzes the content, runs special research projects, strategizes with the nation’s largest homebuilders, and presents nationwide covering topics across the housing market and wider economy.

Ali is the creator of Zonda’s proprietary indices, including the New Home Pending Sales Index and the New Home Lot Supply Index. Ali has focused much of her career on understanding prior recessions and led the charge on ‘Millennials discussing Millennials’ in the homebuilding space. Highly regarded as an industry expert, Ali is quoted frequently in national publications including CNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Forbes, and Yahoo! Finance, and has also appeared on national and international TV and radio programs such as Bloomberg TV and Marketplace. Further, Ali serves as an advisor to the White House, providing data and insights on the U.S. housing market.

Prior to joining the Zonda team, Ali worked for another consultancy firm and was a researcher for both the Canadian and UK Parliaments. Ali holds a Bachelor’s Degree from The Ohio State University in Economics and a Master’s Degree from the London School of Economics in Real Estate Economics and Finance.

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