NAHB: New Interest Rates Signal Significant Decline in Affordability

If calculations assume the average mortgage interest rate at the end of April, less than half of the new and existing homes sold in the first quarter of 2022 were affordable for families earning the U.S. median annual income.

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Outlooks on housing affordability in the first quarter of 2022 are starkly different depending on whether the average mortgage interest rate for the quarter (3.86%) or the rate at the end of April (5.11%) are assumed in the calculation, according to the NAHB. Using the lower average quarterly rate, the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index (HOI) shows that 56.9% of new and existing homes sold between January and the end of March were affordable to families earning the median income in the U.S. of $90,000. If the same calculation used the current rate instead, the HOI for the first quarter would be 48.7%.

The HOI shows that the national median home price increased to a record $365,000 in the first quarter of 2022, up $5,000 from the previous quarter and a whopping $45,000 from a year earlier. Median family income in the U.S., meanwhile, rose from $79,900 in 2021 to $90,000 in 2022.

The top five most affordable major housing markets in the first quarter of 2022 were:

  1. Lansing-East Lansing, Mich.
  2. Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, Ind.
  3. Scranton–Wilkes-Barre, Pa.
  4. Rochester, N.Y.
  5. Dayton-Kettering, Ohio

The top five least affordable major housing markets—all located in California:

  1. Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale
  2. Anaheim-Santa Ana-Irvine
  3. San Francisco-San Mateo-Redwood City
  4. San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad
  5. Stockton

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