Florida Home Sales Were Strong in February

Realtor economist: Post-virus, "Most of our traditional forecasting tools will be rather useless in the near term."

3 MIN READ

Sales of single-family homes in Florida totaled 20,693 last month, up 9.1% from February 2019, the Florida Realtors reported Friday.

“February was a strong month for Florida’s housing market, continuing the trends we have seen previously, such as historically low mortgage rates and tight for-sale inventory,” said 2020 Florida Realtors President Barry Grooms, a Realtor and co-owner of Florida Suncoast Real Estate Inc. in Bradenton. “New pending sales for single-family existing homes rose 12.5% last month and new pending sales for condo-townhouse units increased 13.9%.”

He continued, “Of course, with COVID-19 spreading in Florida and across the globe, all of our lives have been affected. Last week, Gov. Ron DeSantis issued a state-of-emergency declaration so that the state could more effectively gather resources and receive federal help to combat the pandemic and offer aid. We don’t yet know how Florida businesses, including the real estate industry, will be impacted. But we do know that Realtors stand with their communities and will continue to do whatever we can to help in these uncertain times. And, as experts in their local markets, Realtors continue to serve as a valued source of information for home buyers and sellers.”

Statewide median sales prices for both single-family homes and condo-townhouse properties in February rose year-over-year for 98 months-in-a-row. The statewide median sales price for single-family existing homes was $270,000, up 8% from the previous year, according to data from Florida Realtors Research Department in partnership with local Realtor boards/associations. Last month’s statewide median price for condo-townhouse units was $200,000, up 6.7% over the year-ago figure.

In the condo-townhouse market in February, statewide closed sales totaled 8,842, up 10.8% from the level a year ago. Closed sales may occur from 30- to 90-plus days after sales contracts are written.

“Historically low mortgage interest rates continued to serve as the principal driver of growth in the housing market last month,” said Florida Realtors Chief Economist Dr. Brad O’Connor. “Freddie Mac reported all-time lows in February for both 30- and 15-year fixed-rate loans, checking in at 3.47% and 2.97% percent, respectively. These lower rates have helped relieve some of the pent-up demand for affordable homes caused by the housing shortage, and they also aided in a revival of demand in the upper tier of the market. Consequently, price growth has actually accelerated in recent months, including in February.”

He said that while the state’s housing market in February was strong, the biggest question now is what the future holds over the next few months.

“However, that’s impossible to know at this time, given that Florida – and the rest of the world – face the enormous challenge of fighting a global pandemic,” said O’Connor. “The emergence of the coronavirus is a perfect example of what we might call a ‘black swan’ event, which for economists means a very rare, difficult-to-predict event that originates from outside of the economic realm but imposes a massive shock to the economy. Most of our traditional forecasting tools will be rather useless in the near term until there is a better handle on our local, state, and federal governments’ plan to both combat the virus and shield the economy.”

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